New Releases by Alastair Smith

A theory of politics that looks at what did not happen—or non-events—to explain policy change, economic development, democratization, and “autocratization.” Anticipating Instability puts forward a general theory of politics that attempts to explain the very many destabilizing political events in history that did not happen. Although most of us do not pay close attention to what did not occur, research shows that fear of non-events does more to redefine how people are governed than does the actual realization of coups and revolutions. In unraveling the dogs that didn’t bark, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita and Alastair Smith analyze how, when, and why leaders who believe their hold on power is at risk focus their political survival efforts on adjusting their policy choices or shifting their government’s accountability. Such adjustments are the essential factors that determine whether a society becomes freer, more transparent, and prosperous—or more oppressive, corrupt, and impoverished. The book is unique in that it develops a general theory of politics using game theory reasoning and then tests dozens of hypotheses derived from the theory’s logic using both statistical methods and illustrative case studies.

When the United States invaded Iraq, President Bush made it clear: the U.S. was not fighting the Iraqi people. Rather, all quarrels were solely with Iraq''s leadership. This kind of assertion remains frequent in foreign affairs--sanctions or military actions are imposed on a nation not because of its people, but because of its misguided leaders. Although the distinction might seem pedantic since the people suffer regardless, Punishing the Prince reveals how targeting individual leaders for punishment rather than the nations they represent creates incentives for cooperation between nations and leaves room for future relations with pariah states. Punishing the Prince demonstrates that theories of leader punishment explain a great deal about international behavior and interstate relations. The book examines the impact that domestic political institutions have on whether citizens hold their leaders accountable for international commitments and shows that the degrees to which citizens are able to remove leaders shape the dynamics of interstate relations and leader turnover. Through analyses of sovereign debt, international trade, sanctions, and crisis bargaining, Fiona McGillivray and Alastair Smith also uncover striking differences in patterns of relations between democratic and autocratic states. Bringing together a vast body of information, Punishing the Prince offers new ways of thinking about international relations.

Two eminent political scientists show that America''s great conflicts, from the Revolutionary War to the War on Terror, were fought not for ideals, or even geopolitical strategy, but for the individual gain of the presidents who waged them. It''s striking how many of the presidents Americans venerate-Abraham Lincoln, George Washington, Franklin D. Roosevelt, and John F. Kennedy, to name a few-oversaw some of the republic''s bloodiest years. Perhaps they were driven by the needs of the American people and the nation. Or maybe they were just looking out for themselves. This revealing and entertaining book puts some of America''s greatest leaders under the microscope, showing how their calls for war, usually remembered as brave and noble, were in fact selfish and convenient. In each case, our presidents chose personal gain over national interest while loudly evoking justice and freedom. The result is an eye-opening retelling of American history, and a call for reforms that may make the future better. Bueno de Mesquita and Smith demonstrate in compelling fashion that wars, even bloody and noble ones, are not primarily motivated by democracy or freedom or the sanctity of human life. When our presidents risk the lives of brave young soldiers, they do it for themselves.

An illustrated tour of the universe, from our closest planetary neighbours, Mars and Venus, to star constellations, galaxies and black holes millions of light years away. With photographs, detailed illustrations and fascinating information about space, plus tips on trying astronomy at home and internet links to websites with the latest space news.

If you want to use a bike in your daily life - to get to work, play, school and the shops - this is the book you have been waiting for, an informative, comprehensive and inspiring guide that helps beginners get started and experienced cyclists ride more confidently, safely and enjoyably. Discover how to: select the right bike - or improve the bike you have choose accessories for safety, visibility and efficiency learn safe, effective cycling skills manoeuvre through traffic and complex road layouts carry loads safely and well handle challenging terrain and weather deal with mechanical problems such as flat tyres safely introduce your children to cycling

Explains the theory of political survival, particularly in cases of dictators and despotic governments, arguing that political leaders seek to stay in power using any means necessary, most commonly by attending to the interests of certain coalitions.

Contains experiments, activities, A-Z dictionary, review questions and suggested websites for each topic.

There is a different animal hiding under one of the flaps on every double page spread, helping to expand observational skills and providing lots to talk about.

A comprehensive and inspiring guide to drawing and painting subjects, ranging from people and animals to dinosaurs and buildings with plenty of full colour illustrations.

This is a practical introduction to single molecule fluorescence experiments, the analysis of the data, and applications of the techniques to the study of biological structure and function.

A basic introduction to weather, the elements that create weather, and how to identify different kinds of weather.

The authors of this ambitious book address a fundamental political question: why are leaders who produce peace and prosperity turned out of office while those who preside over corruption, war, and misery endure? Considering this political puzzle, they also answer the related economic question of why some countries experience successful economic development and others do not. The authors construct a provocative theory on the selection of leaders and present specific formal models from which their central claims can be deduced. They show how political leaders allocate resources and how institutions for selecting leaders create incentives for leaders to pursue good and bad public policy. They also extend the model to explain the consequences of war on political survival. Throughout the book, they provide illustrations from history, ranging from ancient Sparta to Vichy France, and test the model against statistics gathered from cross-national data. The authors explain the political intuition underlying their theory in nontechnical language, reserving formal proofs for chapter appendixes. They conclude by presenting policy prescriptions based on what has been demonstrated theoretically and empirically.

Explains the chemistry of solids, liquids and gases, with examples from everyday life, showing exactly what they, and how they behave.

Levanta las solapas en cada página de este libro ilustrado y verás lo que hacen los animales nocturnos: gatos, ratones, lechuzas, polillas, caracoles, zorros, tarseros, y murciélagos.

These books open up worlds inaccessible to the naked eye Fascinating yet practical beginner''s guides with an abundance of amazing photographs and realistic illustrations Include clearly explained activities, experiments and projects.

La mer est pleine de surprises. Viens donc voir... Tu découvriras une faune étonnante, du poisson capable de changer de forme aux monstres des grandes profondeurs qui brillent dans le noir. Et en soulevant les rabats, tu en verras d''autres derrière les algues et les rochers.

Endogenous election timing allows leaders to schedule elections ''when the time is right''. The author proposes and tests an informational theory of endogenous election timing that explains when leaders call for elections and the consequences of their decisions. In particular, he argues that, if all else is equal, leaders announce elections when they anticipate a decline in their future performance. As a consequence, early elections signal a leader''s lack of confidence in future outcomes. The earlier elections occur, relative to expectations, the stronger the signal of demise. Using data on British parliaments since 1945, the author tests hypotheses related to timing of elections, electoral support and subsequent economic performance. Leaders who call elections early (relative to expectations) experience a decline in their popular support relative to pre-announcement levels, experience worse post-electoral performance, and have shorter campaigns.

Tu as besoin d''aide pour faire tes devoirs et tu espères la trouver sur Internet ? C''est une bonne idée, mais plutôt que de gaspiller de précieuses heures en vaines recherches, suis les conseils que te donne ce livre et il ne te faudra que quelques minutes pour trouver exactement ce que tu cherches. Plonge-toi dans cet ouvrage pour découvrir : • Les meilleurs moyens de trouver des mines d''explications, de formules, de tests et de cours. • Ce qu''il faut savoir pour exploiter efficacement le fruit de tes recherches afin d''en tirer d''excellents exposés habilement illustrés grâce aux ressources du Web. • Les moteurs de recherche, les navigateurs, le courrier électronique et les forums. Et pour accéder à tout cela, tu n''as pas besoin d''installer des logiciels spécialisés il te suffit d''un ordinateur fonctionnant avec Microsoft Windows 95 ou toute autre version ultérieure.

La contemplación del cielo y la observación de los astros han cautivado a la humanidad desde sus orígenes. Este interés también es característico de los niños, quienes con su inteligencia y curiosidad se formulan interesantes preguntas acerca del cosmos. En este libro magníficamente ilustrado y escrito con un lenguaje claro, ellos encontrarán las repuestas que buscan acerca de una gran variedad de temas tales como el sistema solar, las estrellas y los planetas. Además, la obra incluye una breve reseña histórica sobre la evolución de la astronomía y sus principales hallazgos. De igual forma se presenta una sección con biografías de grandes astrónomos, cosmólogos y astrofísicos de todas las épocas, desde el astrónomo egipcio Ptolomeo hasta el célebre científico británico Stephen Hawking. Un capítulo especial con preguntas y respuestas ayudará a los niños a los niños a reforzar el aprendizaje de manera entretenida.

A collection of jokes and riddles pokes fun at school life, teachers, lessons, discipline, lunchrooms, getting sick, and other highlights and low points of the school day.

Découvre à quoi ressemblent les planètes de près ! Vois les étoiles exploser, les trous noirs se former et sillonne le système solaire avec les comètes et les astéroïdes. Repère-toi dans le ciel nocturne à l''aide de nos cartes claires et détaillées. Cet ouvrage présente l''Univers en s''appuyant sur des informations étonnantes recueillies auprès d''astronomes du monde entier ou transmises par les sondes spatiales qui étudient la galaxie. Ce livre contient aussi des descriptions de sites Web permettant d''explorer plus avant l''astronomie.

Discover how cars and planes work, how energy is turned into power in your home, and much more.