New Releases by Jean Fischer

Here is a perfectly inspiring and practical pairing: a Bible memory plan with encouraging devotional thoughts! A Bible memory verse, twice a day for every day of the year, will encourage you to commit God''s Word to heart, while morning and evening devotional thoughts and prayers further reinforce the theme of the day''s memory verse. Set in a charming design, the Bible Memory Plan for Morning & Evening is a great reminder to spend quality time in God''s Word each and every day. It''s a fabulous book to give as a gift or use for your own personal quiet time.

Join the bestselling Precious Moments characters as they celebrate the beautiful, bountiful autumn in Happy Harvest. Harvest season is the second most popular book-buying season.

Here is a perfectly inspiring and practical pairing just for you: a devotional plus a Bible memory plan! Dozens of thought-provoking readings will speak to your heart, sharing spiritual truths from God''s Word, including topics like: friendship, love, serving, encouragement. . .and many more. Set in a charming design, Bible Memory Plan and Devotional for Women is a great reminder to live your best life according to God''s plan.

For spiritual "quality time" with your five- to eight-year-old kids this holiday season, check out Prayers & Stories for Christmas--going a step beyond the traditional storybook! Readings are presented, in fun, easy-to-understand stories that your kids will love. From Old Testament prophecies of the Messiah, to the actual Nativity and all the details that surrounded it, Christmas Prayers & Stories for Kids explains the first Christmas in ways that young hearts can grasp. Each chapter is accompanied by full-color illustration and design, making Christmas Prayers & Stories for Kids an ideal book for learning and fun.

Share all the ways that God watches over us with your little one Illustrated with the adorable Precious Moments art, this sweet little book features rhyming text about all the ways God watches over His children, helping little ones to feel safe and loved. The book takes a child through all the things that happen in a day, accompanied with a prayer, and closes with a sweet poem that reminds children that God is always watching over us, even when we sleep. Complete with scriptures and prayers, this book will be a wonderful addition to every family''s library. Since 1978, Precious Moments has grown into an evergreen brand recognized worldwide, with more than 12.5 million books and Bibles sold through Thomas Nelson. Trim Size: 5 x 7

We develop statistical methods to model ultrafine particle (UFP) counts as a function of size and time using Bayesian functional time-series methods. Because of their small diameter and relatively large surface area, UFPs can penetrate the lung, enter the circulatory system, and deposit in the brain. Health effects of UFPs may be strongly linked to particle size as this characteristic determines which region in the lung the particles deposit. UFP counts can increase by orders of magnitude above natural levels in urban environments from anthropogenic processes such as the operation of combustion engines. Understanding how UFP counts of various sizes change over time near combustion engines and high traffic roadways is crucial in setting idling, vehicle reduction, and vehicle emissions policy. We first propose Bayesian longitudinal functional time series models to understand the impact of engine idling on UFP counts inside school buses. Our approach is a varying coefficient model and we model UFP counts over size at a given time with a cubic B-spline basis. UFP counts across a range of sizes were collected over time during multiple experiments while the bus engines were off and then turned on, making the data multivariate longitudinal. Steady meteorological and background traffic conditions during individual experiments imply that UFP counts over size do not vary greatly with time before the engine is on, but variation in engine-off UFP counts is observed between experiments. We model this using a spline random effect model across all UFP sizes. We allow counts to increase over time at a size dependent rate once the engine is turned on. We explore alternate models for the engine-on increase: a possible jump in counts at engine-on followed by either a quadratic or bent line time trend. A random jump by experiment is also explored. Residuals are modeled with an autoregressive model over time to accommodate correlation over time. To account for larger count variance for smaller particles relative to larger particles, the log residual variance over size bin is modeled using a quadratic B-spline basis. We next propose distinct Bayesian functional time series models to model the how UFP counts change over time near the I-405 roadway. As with the bus experiment, we model UFP counts over size at a given time with a cubic B-spline basis. Our methods allow UFP counts to then change over time at a size bin dependent rate by letting B-spline coefficients evolve over time following a random walk model. This model smooths UFP counts both over size and over time. To account for larger count variance for smaller particles relative to larger particle size bins, the log residual variance over size bin is again modeled using a quadratic B-spline basis. We also explore modeling residuals with an autoregressive model to accommodate correlation over time. In both studies, we provide statistical summaries of how particle counts evolve over time as a function of size bin to estimate the contribution of emissions to UFP counts. We utilize plots to aid in the interpretation of model inferences and make model output interpretable to non-statisticians. Graphs also aid in diagnosis of lack of fit and can help suggest model improvements. Taken jointly, our methods can be used to understand the behavior of UFP counts over size and over time near combustion engines and high traffic roadways.

Unique Women''s Devotional Journal + Scripture Memory Plan Write God''s Word on Your Heart, Starting Today. . . Here is a perfectly inspiring and practical pairing just for you: a devotional journal plus a Bible memory plan! Dozens of thought-provoking readings will speak to your heart, sharing spiritual truths from God''s Word, including topics like: friendship, love, serving, encouragement. . .and many more. Set in a charming one-color design, Written on My Heart is a great reminder to live your best life according to God''s plan. It’s a fabulous book to give as a gift or use for personal quiet time.

"Share the story of God''s greatest blessing with your little ones"--Publisher description.

Join the Camp Club Girls on a series of clue-filled adventures and cheer them on as they crack the case in this entertaining 3-in-1 story collection. Whether the Camp Club Girls are searching for a missing bag of marbles, investigating peculiar tracks in the sand, or attempting to keep the London Bridge from collapsing, you’ll encounter six charming characters who combine their mystery-solving skills to save the day. More Mysteries from the Camp Club Girls: Get a Clue! Secrets and Surprises

Inspire little ones to pray with this Precious Moments® themed book of prayers. Prayers of thanks, prayers of praise, prayers for school, for mealtime, for bedtime—boys and girls are sure to discover prayers that will become lifetime favorites. Featuring adorable Precious Moments characters, this case-bound, padded board book will be a cherished addition to any child’s library. Children will be drawn to the soft, inviting illustrations, and parents will appreciate the heartfelt prayers and the scriptures from the International Children’s Bible®. Since 1978, Precious Moments has grown into an evergreen brand recognized worldwide, with more than 14.5 million books and Bibles sold through Thomas Nelson.

Presents an illustrated dictionary providing information on the people, places, things, and concepts of the Bible, as well as an illustrated handbook that looks at the origin, books, and meaning of the Bible.

Want a guide to what’s really important in scripture? Try The Bible Brief, a three-in-one collection of books that highlight the vital details of God’s Word. Here, under one cover, are helpful titles that make God’s Word accessible to any reader: The Bible Brief, spotlighting the most important passages of scripture; 150 Need-to-Know Bible Facts, explaining key concepts of God’s Word; and the easy-to-understand 199 Bible People, Places, and Things. This powerful book will start you on a journey of understanding that can truly change your life!

Join the Camp Club Girls on a series of clue-filled adventures and cheer them on as they crack the case in this entertaining 3-in-1 story collection. Whether the Camp Club Girls are uncovering a decades-old mystery at Camp Discovery Lake, unraveling confusing clues in the nation’s capital, or solving a Wild West who-dun-it, you’ll encounter six charming characters who combine their mystery-solving skills to save the day. More Mysteries from the Camp Club Girls: Secrets and Surprises - Now Available Mixed-Up Mysteries - Available December 2013

Elizabeth, Alexis, Bailey, Sydney, Kate, and McKenzie come from different parts of the country and different backgrounds. But when they meet at Camp Discovery, they learn they all share one thing: an aptitude for intrigue! Soon they’re embroiled in a search for lost jewels…and that’s only the beginning! Whether it’s foiling terrorist plots or finding missing millionaires or rescuing sea lions, you’ll love joining the adventure with these precocious preteens, as they pitch in their personal skills to solve the mysteries and save the day! The perfect blend of mystery and mayhem—just for you!

An abridged version of Johanna Spyri''s classic story of a Swiss orphan who is heartbroken when she must leave her beloved grandfather and their happy home in the mountains to go to school and to care for an invalid girl in the city.

A collection of stories that describe different kinds of friendship, taken from familiar novels and from the lives of such people as Harriet Tubman and Helen Keller.

Taken from a kindly owner, Buck is forced into the perilous life of a sled dog in the treacherous Yukon Territory during the Klondike gold rush. Presented in comic book format.