New Releases by William J. Bernstein

John C. Bogle and William Bernstein define “enough” and suggest another golden rule: never confuse your self-worth with your net worth. Knowing Enough combines the penetrating insights into investing and life of John C. Bogle, the founder of Vanguard and the pioneer of index investing, and the priceless practical advice of William J. Bernstein, bestselling author of The Four Pillars of Investing and market historian. Their conversations were the centerpiece of Boglehead meetings until Bogle’s passing on January 19, 2019. The book combines Bogle’s insights from his bestselling Enough and Bernstein’s practical how-to, If You Can. Their goal: to inspire you to lead a meaningful life that reaches well beyond your net worth to touch upon matters of self-worth, and to provide you with the means of doing so. You’ll also find: How to focus less on chasing financial success and more on living a meaningful life Insight into investing wisely and contributing to the common good Reflections on lessons learned from Bogle throughout his career Written in the same conversational tone found between Bogle and Bernstein at Boglehead events, Knowing Enough challenges readers to rethink their relationship with money, business, and society.

──如果只能讀一本投資書，這本就夠了！── 美國最大共同基金公司先鋒集團創辦人、指數化投資教父約翰．柏格（John C. Bogle） 投資學經典《漫步華爾街》作者伯頓‧墨基爾（Burton G. Malkiel）等人力薦 亞馬遜書店理財暢銷榜二十年長踞不墜，中文版累銷超過六萬冊 備受讚譽的指數化投資殿堂級教本．大幅改寫新譯版 以當代角度重新剖析投資四大支柱──「理論」、「歷史」、「心理學」、「產業」 並提出適合各年齡段、各類型投資人的具體策略建議 從入門到資深的當代投資人都該讀、讓你少走冤枉路的絕佳好書 財經作家、「綠角財經筆記」站長 綠角 專文導讀推薦── 「投資界有一位我最重視的專家，他寫的每本書、每篇文章、每場訪談，我都會閱讀與追蹤，那就是本書作者威廉．伯恩斯坦。 威廉．伯恩斯坦值得關注的理由並不是因為他可以準確預知市場何時即將大跌，下一支飆股為何，而是因為他講的都是有憑有據的投資原則。《投資金律》是他所有著作中最知名的一本，自2002年刊行以來，幫助了全球無數投資人建立投資觀念，實行投資計畫，為自己取得更美好的財務未來。 二十年過後，經歷了2008金融海嘯、2020新冠肺炎疫情，2022連續升息等市場動蕩，作者納入最新的觀察與體會，推出新版《投資金律》。假如你已經看到這段文字，千萬不要錯過本書內容，那是真正的投資珍寶。」 —— ◤被動式指數化投資先驅，投資學經典之作全面更新版！◢ 威廉．伯恩斯坦，除了是位在專業上受人景仰的醫生外，在投資領域他更是受人尊重的智者，處女作《智慧型資產配置》至今仍廣受尊崇，而《投資金律》這部成名作更是受到高度肯定，書中的獨到見解獲得投資泰斗先鋒集團創辦人約翰．柏格、《漫步華爾街》作者伯頓．墨基爾及《商業周刊》等專業媒體的讚譽，自2002年出版後長銷不墜，被譽為是所有投資人、從新手至專家皆該閱讀的投資經典。 而在出版二十年後，因應全球投資環境及工具的高度變化，以及伯恩斯坦本人對金融理財相關知識觀念的學習與演進，他著手大幅度更新改寫《投資金律》內容，於2023年重新出版，讓這部投資學經典再度跟上最新世界投資市場實況。從資料數據、工具到投資哲學與方法，以及從近二十年來發生的重大市場事件，如2008年的金融海嘯、2019年的Covid-19、2022年股票與債券的大屠殺等獲得的新觀點，皆囊括於此次更新內容中。 ◤從投資理論、歷史、心理到產業，一次吸收美國最優秀投資顧問的一生絕學◢ 透過簡明易懂的敘述分析及真實生活中的投資案例，本書將帶你從各個面向理解投資行為，以循序漸進的十八堂課，剖析每位投資人都該熟知的投資四大支柱，幫助你快速建立最正確的投資觀念，打造低風險且能真正獲利的投資組合。這四大支柱分別是： ▍投資理論：理解風險與報酬的關係、如何看待折現率與股價、通貨膨脹在預測報酬率時扮演的腳色、預期長期股市報酬的「高登方程式」該如何參考、為什麼我們不該依賴基金經理人、不同年齡階段成年投資人的資產配置該如何規畫……－－「報酬與風險密不可分，形影不離。」 ▍投資歷史：投資市場長達數千年演進的歷史與實質意義、回顧市場處於高點狂熱與谷底蕭條時的不變定律、經濟泡沫出現的四個典型特徵、安然度過市場谷底的策略……──「我們必須從他人的錯誤中學習，因為我們沒有足夠長的生命去一一犯下所有過錯。」 ▍投資心理學：最常導致投資錯誤的三種思考偏誤、我們為何會受「以偏概全」重創、與各種人性偏誤周旋的策略──「在追求投資成就的道路上，你的最大障礙就是鏡中那個凝視著你的自己。」 ▍投資產業：金融產業三大支柱－－證券經紀商、共同基金、財金媒體的運作策略與目標，以及你該如何跟他們打交道：如何分辨投資顧問的好壞、千萬不要為了投資購買保險商品、漸入佳境的共同基金與它的妖魔化、指數股票型基金（ETF）的優勢與陷阱、該如何分辨能相信的財金媒體與網路資訊──「雖然整個金融產業已經不像過去那麼危險，但你還是有必要提高警覺。」 「如果對投資的心理學、歷史和投資產業本身缺乏實務上的認識，即使是最優秀的投資理論大師都會成為災星。這四個廣泛領域都非常值得我們深入研究，而且，這些研究就如同椅子的四隻腳，只要拆掉其中任何一隻腳，你的投資策略肯定會失敗。」 除了上述四大支柱之外，伯恩斯坦在最後一部「投資策略：整合思考」中，將進一步告訴你如何整合上述四大投資金律，建立、維護、享用一個首尾一貫的投資組合策略，達到獲致理想財富的最終目標。 投資是一趟沒有目的地的旅程，《投資金律》將告訴你如何建立投資組合，在長期投資中成功獲利。避免分心、堅持到底，你將確立你的財務方向和目標，為你和你的家人創造長期穩定的財富，並真正享受到財富能帶給你的美好人生。 【各界讚譽】 「這本全面修訂版的投資經典收錄了美國最優秀投資顧問之一的一生絕學，你一定能從中學到許多一生難得一見的寶貴教誨。伯恩斯坦以引人入勝且幽默的寫作風格，循序漸進地告訴我們，要獲得投資上的成就，不僅牽涉到『做對的事』，還牽涉到避免犯下足以毀掉任何一個投資計畫的常見大錯。這是一本睿智卻又頗具娛樂性的書，它融合了投資理論及歷史的教誨，還有作者對人類心理偏誤的理解，是非常值得信賴的投資建議來源。」 ──伯頓‧墨基爾（Burton G. Malkiel），普林斯頓大學經濟學教授暨《漫步華爾街》（A Random Walk Down Wall Street）五十週年紀念版（二〇二三年）作者 「伯恩斯坦以實務上的例子、故事、隱喻、數學、一點點幽默，和卓越的寫作藝術，將投資的理論、歷史、心理學與產業等足夠寫成四本書的題材，融入一本書的篇幅裡。本書以易於吸收的格式，表達了許多難能可貴的投資觀點與明智建議。這本書絕對值得推薦給所有知道你真心為他們好的新手投資人。」 ──艾瑞克‧巴楚納斯（Eric Balchunas），彭博社（Bloomberg）分析師，亦為《柏格效應》（The Bogle Effect）一書作者 「談到投資，控制風險遠比追逐報酬重要。威廉‧伯恩斯坦醫師將透過本書說明，在投資這條道路上，你可能一直都搞錯方向了，你擔心的風險可能不是真正需要在意的風險。一旦你了解投資的理論、歷史、心理學和產業，就可能很有機會在承擔最低必要實質風險的情況下，成功實現你的財務目標。」 ──詹姆斯‧達利（醫學博士）（James M. Dahle, MD），白袍投資人（The White Coat Investor）網站創辦人 「威廉‧伯恩斯坦集許多罕見的天賦於一身，他既是數學家，也是歷史學家；他既是統計學家，也是心理學家；他既是計量經濟學家，也是語言藝術家。他深知哪些金融真理遭到誤解、哪些真理攸關重大，又有哪些引人入勝，而眾人殷切期待的新版《投資金律》一書，就是奠基於他的多種罕見天賦以及他對各項金融真理的深刻認識。我向來把這本書奉為我的投資策略課程的金律之一。」 ──愛德華‧陶爾（Edward Tower），杜克大學經濟學教授 「不擅長心理戰的人難以獲得投資上的成就。一頭栽進金融叢林裡追尋珍奇的獨角獸，並不能讓你成為贏家；唯有瞭解風險並控制風險的人才能獲得最後的勝利。你的目標只是要過上舒適的日子、退休後有充裕的資金可花用，或許再留點遺產給子女。這是一本彌足珍貴的著作，它詳細說明要如何用謹慎且聰明的方法來賺取資本報酬。」 ──珍‧布萊恩特‧昆恩（Jane Bryant Quinn）《財富生生不息之道》（暫譯，How to Make Your Money Last）作者 「《投資金律》一書能滿足每一個人的需要。它是所有人都該閱讀的第一本－－也是第五十本－－投資經典。能同時吸引新手及專家的投資書籍少之又少，而能讓人讀來興致盎然的投資書籍更屬鳳毛麟角。對新手來說，這是一本容易上手的入門書籍，而對已經開始在市場上見習的投資人來說，它則是一本啟示錄，即使對專家而言，這都是一本頗發人深省的好書。」 ──約翰‧瑞肯沙勒（John Rekenthaler），晨星公司（Morningstar）研究部部長

Um abrangente relato histórico do comércio no mundo — desde a Suméria em 3000 a.C. à explosão da globalização atual — que explora brilhantemente o passado empolgante e controverso do comércio e oferece uma nova visão da história social, política, cultural e econômica, além de uma oportuna avaliação de seu futuro. "Um livro agradável e altamente esclarecedor... Bernstein é um ótimo escritor e sabe muito bem contar uma bela história.... Uma Troca Esplêndida é um livro esplêndido." — The New York Times "Excelente... Fascinante... Uma passagem histórica despreocupada segue outra... Uma Troca Esplêndida nos protege contra qualquer sensação de tédio por sua abundância de conclusões contrárias, sua ampla abrangência histórica e, principalmente, seus personagens intensos." — Businessweek "Extremamente interessante... Em uma época em que o comércio se define por intermináveis conversas e ofertas da Organização Mundial do Comércio e o ápice do romantismo são navios porta-contêineres navegando entre portos sem atrativos, o livro de William Bernstein é como uma ida ao cinema para assistir Johnny Depp balançando no cordame." — Hugh Carnegy, Financial Times

The classic guide to constructing a solid portfolio―without a financial advisor! First published two decades ago, The Four Pillars of Investing has been the go-to resource for an entire generation of investors. This updated edition of the investing classic provides the foundational knowledge you need to avoid the most common pitfalls and build a portfolio in today’s roller-coaster world of investing. Retired neurologist and master investor William J. Bernstein has seen it all throughout his career. Buying investments with borrowed money. Chasing past performance. Overestimating one’s own risk tolerance. Listening to cable news. These are just a few of the many mistakes he has witnessed smart, serious investors make, to the peril of their portfolios. Add to these behavioral errors such economic factors as deflation, sudden stock declines, soaring inflation, and the like—and investing can seem like something to be avoided at all costs. But with the right discipline and knowledge, you can build and manage an impressive portfolio. It all comes down to understanding four key pillars: Theory: Risk and return go hand in hand—you can’t make money without risk History: Understand past markets to understand today’s markets Psychology: Avoid the most common behavioral mistakes that tank portfolios Business: The cost of investment services can be high—unreasonably high After taking you on a deep dive into each of these topics, Bernstein walks you through the process of designing and maintaining a powerful portfolio. Times have changed. Economies have changed. And markets are ever-changing. But sound investing principles haven’t changed. Use The Four Pillars of Investing to stay a step ahead of your investing peers and build a portfolio to be proud of.

This "disturbing yet fascinating" exploration of mass mania through the ages explains the biological and psychological roots of irrationality ( Kirkus Reviews). From time immemorial, contagious narratives have spread through susceptible groups—with enormous, often disastrous, consequences. Inspired by Charles Mackay''s nineteenth-century classic Memoirs of Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds, neurologist and author William Bernstein examines mass delusion through the lens of current scientific research in The Delusions of Crowds. Bernstein tells the stories of dramatic religious and financial mania in western society over the last five hundred years—from the Anabaptist Madness of the 1530s to the dangerous End-Times beliefs that pervade today''s polarized America; and from the South Sea Bubble to the Enron scandal and dot com bubbles. Through Bernstein''s supple prose, the participants are as colorful as their "desire to improve one''s well-being in this life or the next." Bernstein''s chronicles reveal the huge cost and alarming implications of mass mania. He observes that if we can absorb the history and biology of this all-too-human phenomenon, we can recognize it more readily in our own time, and avoid its frequently dire impact.

William J. Bernstein promises to lay out an investment strategy that any seven year old could understand and will take just 15 minutes of work per year. He also promises it will beat 90% of finance professionals in the long run, but still make you a millionaire over time. Bernstein is addressing young Americans just embarking on their working careers. Bernstein advocates saving 15% of one''s salary starting no later than age 25 into tax-sheltered savings plans (IRA or 401(k) in the U.S., RRSPs or Registered Pension Plans in Canada), and divvying up the money into just three mutual funds: a U.S. total stock market index fund, an international stock market index fund and a U.S. total bond market index fund. For millennials, saving 15% of salary is the financial equivalent of dying, which is why Bernstein titles his document ''IF you can.''

This booklet takes portfolio design beyond the familiar "black box" mean-variance framework. Most importantly, the short-term volatility of financial assets, commonly measured as standard deviation, is a highly imperfect measure of the actual long-horizon perils faced by real-world investors subject to the vagaries of financial and military history. These risks have names--inflation, deflation, confiscation, and devastation--and any useful discussion of portfolio design of necessity incorporates their probabilities, consequences, and costs of mitigation ... This booklet contains ... with luck, a framework within income and all-equity portfolios. This booklet contains ... with luck, a framework within which to think more clearly about risk. Note: the entire Investing for Adults series is not for beginners.

"The Ages of the Investor: A Critical Look at Life-cycle Investing" is intended to be the first installment in the "Investing for Adults" series. Just as grown-ups do not believe in the Tooth Fairy, the Easter Bunny, or Santa Claus, "Investing adults" know that there is no such creature as the Stock-picking Fairy or the Market-timing Fairy. Further, there is no Risk Fairy who will write you cheap options that will protect your stock holdings against loss. Investing adults are familiar with Gene Fama, Zvi Bodie, Jack Bogle, and Burton Malkiel, and understand that a mean variance optimizer does not blend vegetables. In other words, this series is not for beginners. Future topics will, with luck, include the limits of market efficiency and diversification in increasingly non-segmented global markets.

“Compact and immensely readable . . . a tour de force. Prepare to be amazed.” John C. Bogle, Founder and Former CEO, The Vanguard Group Bernstein is widely respected as author of the bestseller, The Intelligent Asset Allocator Identifies and explains the four conditions necessary for human progress

The classic guide to constructing a solid portfolio—without a financial advisor! “With relatively little effort, you can design and assemble an investment portfolio that, because of its wide diversification and minimal expenses, will prove superior to the most professionally managed accounts. Great intelligence and good luck are not required.” William Bernstein’s commonsense approach to portfolio construction has served investors well during the past turbulent decade—and it’s what made The Four Pillars of Investing an instant classic when it was first published nearly a decade ago. This down-to-earth book lays out in easy-to-understand prose the four essential topics that every investor must master: the relationship of risk and reward, the history of the market, the psychology of the investor and the market, and the folly of taking financial advice from investment salespeople. Bernstein pulls back the curtain to reveal what really goes on in today’s financial industry as he outlines a simple program for building wealth while controlling risk. Straightforward in its presentation and generous in its real-life examples, The Four Pillars of Investing presents a no-nonsense discussion of: The art and science of mixing different asset classes into an effective blend The dangers of actively picking stocks, as opposed to investing in the whole market Behavioral finance and how state of mind can adversely affect decision making Reasons the mutual fund and brokerage industries, rather than your partners, are often your most direct competitors Strategies for managing all of your assets—savings, 401(k)s, home equity—as one portfolio Investing is not a destination. It is a journey, and along the way are stockbrokers, journalists, and mutual fund companies whose interests are diametrically opposed to yours. More relevant today than ever, The Four Pillars of Investing shows you how to determine your own financial direction and assemble an investment program with the sole goal of building long-term wealth for you and your family.

Una historia exhaustiva del comercio en el mundo –desde Mesopotamia en 3000 a.C. hasta la tormentosa globalización de hoy en día- que explora con brillantez el pasado abigarrado y beligerante del comercio, y aporta nuevas perspectivas de su futuro.Adam Smith escribió que el hombre posee “una propensión” innata “a comerciar, hacer trueques e intercambiar unas cosas con otras”. Pero ¿cómo es posible que el comercio evolucionara hasta el punto que nosotros mordemos una manzana del otro lado del mundo como si fuese la cosa más natural? El autor comienza la narración en la antigua Mesopotamia y acaba en la era moderna de los televisores de Taiwan y las camisetas de China.

A timeless approach to investing wisely over an investment lifetime With the current market maelstrom as a background, this timely guide describes just how to plan a lifetime of investing, in good times and bad, discussing stocks and bonds as well as the relationship between risk and return. Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, The Investor''s Manifesto will help you understand the nuts and bolts of executing a lifetime investment plan, including: how to survive dealing with the investment industry, the practical meaning of market efficiency, how much to save, how to maintain discipline in the face of panics and manias, and what vehicles to use to achieve financial security and freedom. Written by bestselling author William J. Bernstein, well known for his insights on how individual investors can manage their personal wealth and retirement funds wisely Examines how the financial landscape has radically altered in the past two years, and what investors should do about it Contains practical insights that the everyday investor can understand Focuses on the concept of Pascal''s Wager-identifying and avoiding worst-case scenarios, and planning investment decisions on that basis With The Investor''s Manifesto as your guide, you''ll quickly discover the timeless investment approaches that can put you in a better position to prosper over time.

A Financial Times and Economist Best Book of the Year exploring world trade from Mesopotamia in 3,000 BC to modern globalization. How did trade evolve to the point where we don''t think twice about biting into an apple from the other side of the world? In A Splendid Exchange, William J. Bernstein, bestselling author of The Birth of Plenty, traces the story of global commerce from its prehistoric origins to the myriad controversies surrounding it today. Journey from ancient sailing ships carrying silk from China to Rome in the second century to the rise and fall of the Portuguese monopoly on spices in the sixteenth; from the American trade battles of the early twentieth century to the modern era of televisions from Taiwan, lettuce from Mexico, and T-shirts from China. Bernstein conveys trade and globalization not in political terms, but rather as an ever-evolving historical constant, like war or religion, that will continue to foster the growth of intellectual capital, shrink the world, and propel the trajectory of the human species. "[An] entertaining and greatly enlightening book." — The New York Times "A work of which Adam Smith and Max Weber would have approved." — Foreign Affairs "[Weaves] skillfully between rollicking adventures and scholarship." —Pietra Rivoli, author of The Travels of a T-Shirt in the Global Economy

William J. Bernstein ist in Fachkreisen längst als Guru der Investmentwelt bekannt. Er betreibt eine der weltweit erfolgreichsten Investment-Websites. In diesem Buch erklärt er wie man sicher, einfach und ohne großen Zeitaufwand sein Portfolio zusammenstellen kann. Dabei beruft er sich auf Techniken, mit denen seit Jahrzehnten erfolgreich Investiert wird. Mit nur 30 Minuten Zeitaufwand im Jahr kann damit jeder ein Portfolio zusammenstellen, das 75 Prozent aller professionell gemanagten Aktienkörbe hinter sich lässt.

Sound, sensible advice from a hero to frustrated investors everywhere William Bernstein''s The Four Pillars of Investing gives investors the tools they need to construct top-returning portfolios--without the help of a financial adviser. In a relaxed, nonthreatening style, Dr. Bernstein provides a distinctive blend of market history, investing theory, and behavioral finance, one designed to help every investor become more self-sufficient and make better-informed investment decisions. The 4 Pillars of Investing explains how any investor can build a solid foundation for investing by focusing on four essential lessons, each building upon the other. Containing all of the tools needed to achieve investing success, without the help of a financial advisor, it presents: Practical investing advice based on fascinating history lessons from the market Exercises to determine risk tolerance as an investor An easy-to-understand explanation of risk and reward in the capital markets

Time-Tested Techniques - Safe, Simple, and Proven Effective - for Building Your Own Investment Portfolio. "As its title suggest, Bill Bernstein''s fine book honors the sensible principles of Benjamin Graham in the Intelligent Investor Bernstein''s concepts are sound, his writing crystal clear, and his exposition orderly. Any reader who takes the time and effort to understand his approach to the crucial subject of asset allocation will surely be rewarded with enhanced long-term returns." - John C. Bogle, Founder and former Chief Executive Officer, The Vanguard Group President, Bogle Financial Markets Research Center Author, common Sense on Mutual Funds. "Bernstein has become a guru to a peculiarly ''90s group: well-educated, Internet-powered people intent on investing well - and with minimal ''help'' from professional Wall Street." - Robert Barker, Columnist, BusinessWeek. "I go home and tell my wife sometimes, ''I wonder if [Bernstein] doesn''t know more than me.'' It''s humbling." - John Rekenthaler, Research Chief, Morningstar Inc. William Bernstein is an unlikely financial hero. A practicing neurologist, he used his self-taught investment knowledge and research to build one of today''s most respected investor''s websites. Now, let his plain-spoken The Intelligent Asset Allocator show you how to use the time-honored techniques of asset allocation to build your own pathway to financial security - one that is easy-to-understand, easier-to-apply, and supported by 75 years of solid history and wealth-building results.